**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and yr.no, indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 20 around 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity.** This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet the market shows near-even odds between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and local variability. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear skies versus heat retention from humidity and urban effects; steering patterns that could advect slightly cooler air from the north or maintain warmer maritime influence from the Arabian Sea; and typical September baseline lows near 25–27°C. New model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日卡拉奇的最低溫度?
22°C或以下 98%
32°C或更高 97%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
22°C或以下
98%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C或更高
97%
22°C或以下 98%
32°C或更高 97%
23°C 39%
24°C 39%
22°C或以下
98%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C
21%
27°C
23%
28°C
39%
29°C
8%
30°C
39%
31°C
39%
32°C或更高
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 18, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts from multiple models, including WeatherBug, Met Office, and yr.no, indicate a minimum temperature for Karachi on September 20 around 27–28°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds and high humidity.** This places the outcome near the middle of the distribution, yet the market shows near-even odds between 22°C or below and 32°C or higher, reflecting trader assessment of model spread and local variability. Key differentiating factors include overnight radiative cooling under clear skies versus heat retention from humidity and urban effects; steering patterns that could advect slightly cooler air from the north or maintain warmer maritime influence from the Arabian Sea; and typical September baseline lows near 25–27°C. New model runs and official Pakistan Meteorological Department updates in the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions