**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日吉隆坡最低溫度？
9月14日吉隆坡最低溫度？
26°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
$723 交易量
$723 交易量
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
26°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 1.0%
22°C 1.0%
20°C <1%
$723 交易量
$723 交易量
2026-09-14
19°C或以下
$0 交易量
否
20°C
$31 交易量
否
21°C
$16 交易量
否
22°C
$0 交易量
否
23°C
$116 交易量
否
24°C
$99 交易量
否
25°C
$99 交易量
否
26°C
$166 交易量
是
27°C
$55 交易量
否
28°C
$0 交易量
否
29°C或以上
$141 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.**
In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C.
The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$723結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.**
In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C.
The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$723結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus strongly favors a 26°C minimum in Kuala Lumpur on September 14, 2026, reflecting stable tropical conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** In this equatorial location, persistent high humidity (often 70-90%), cloud cover, and light winds limit radiative heat loss, keeping nighttime lows typically within 24-27°C during September. Official forecasts and recent observations align on an overnight low near 25-26°C, consistent with seasonal baselines where the monthly mean minimum hovers around 23-26°C. The near-100% market-implied probability for 26°C indicates traders view significant deviation as improbable absent major shifts in atmospheric conditions. Lower outcomes (e.g., 22°C or below) would require atypical clear skies or unusual subsidence, which current model runs and real-time data do not support. Resolution hinges on verified station measurements from sources like the Malaysian Meteorological Department, with any final adjustment possible only from post-day verification.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions