Persistent monsoon conditions across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the main drivers behind the tightly clustered market odds for Lucknow's September 14 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and scattered thundershowers, which limit radiational cooling while daytime heating remains suppressed. The near-even probabilities for outcomes below 21°C or above 31°C reflect model spread on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter the diurnal temperature range. Traders appear focused on the balance between typical late-monsoon stabilization and potential for localized heavier showers to nudge the overnight low. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these contours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月14日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
9月14日勒克瑙的最低溫度？
31°C或更高 70%
21°C或以下 60%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
60%
22°C
14%
23°C
40%
24°C
40%
25°C
22%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
27%
29°C
18%
30°C
18%
31°C或更高
70%
31°C或更高 70%
21°C或以下 60%
23°C 40%
24°C 40%
最新
最新
2026-09-14
21°C或以下
$0 交易量
60%
22°C
$0 交易量
14%
23°C
$0 交易量
40%
24°C
$0 交易量
40%
25°C
$0 交易量
22%
26°C
$5 交易量
33%
27°C
$0 交易量
22%
28°C
$43 交易量
27%
29°C
$0 交易量
18%
30°C
$0 交易量
18%
31°C或更高
$0 交易量
70%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the main drivers behind the tightly clustered market odds for Lucknow's September 14 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and scattered thundershowers, which limit radiational cooling while daytime heating remains suppressed. The near-even probabilities for outcomes below 21°C or above 31°C reflect model spread on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter the diurnal temperature range. Traders appear focused on the balance between typical late-monsoon stabilization and potential for localized heavier showers to nudge the overnight low. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these contours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon conditions across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the main drivers behind the tightly clustered market odds for Lucknow's September 14 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and scattered thundershowers, which limit radiational cooling while daytime heating remains suppressed. The near-even probabilities for outcomes below 21°C or above 31°C reflect model spread on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter the diurnal temperature range. Traders appear focused on the balance between typical late-monsoon stabilization and potential for localized heavier showers to nudge the overnight low. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these contours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$48結束日期
2026-09-14市場開放時間
Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ETPersistent monsoon conditions across northern India, including active rainfall and extensive cloud cover over Uttar Pradesh, are the main drivers behind the tightly clustered market odds for Lucknow's September 14 minimum temperature. Official India Meteorological Department guidance and multiple forecast models indicate overnight lows near 26°C amid high humidity and scattered thundershowers, which limit radiational cooling while daytime heating remains suppressed. The near-even probabilities for outcomes below 21°C or above 31°C reflect model spread on exact rainfall timing and wind shifts that could alter the diurnal temperature range. Traders appear focused on the balance between typical late-monsoon stabilization and potential for localized heavier showers to nudge the overnight low. Updated IMD bulletins and short-range model runs expected in the next 24 hours will likely refine these contours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions