Trader sentiment for Taipei's lowest temperature on September 11 centers on the 23–24°C range amid closely matched implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under persistent easterly flow and scattered showers. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum near 25°C, with cloud cover and high humidity (often above 85%) limiting radiative cooling while light to moderate winds prevent stronger drops. Recent weakening of seasonal northeasterlies has allowed slightly warmer air advection, yet localized rain and variable model runs introduce divergence that could push readings toward 21–22°C in sheltered areas or hold them near 24°C. Upcoming real-time observations from official stations will resolve these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日臺北氣溫最低?
24°C 90%
22°C 8%
23°C 2%
20°C或以下 <1%
$972 交易量
$972 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
24°C 90%
22°C 8%
23°C 2%
20°C或以下 <1%
$972 交易量
$972 交易量
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或以上
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Trader sentiment for Taipei's lowest temperature on September 11 centers on the 23–24°C range amid closely matched implied probabilities, reflecting uncertainty in overnight cooling under persistent easterly flow and scattered showers. Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models indicate a minimum near 25°C, with cloud cover and high humidity (often above 85%) limiting radiative cooling while light to moderate winds prevent stronger drops. Recent weakening of seasonal northeasterlies has allowed slightly warmer air advection, yet localized rain and variable model runs introduce divergence that could push readings toward 21–22°C in sheltered areas or hold them near 24°C. Upcoming real-time observations from official stations will resolve these thresholds.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions