Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light early precipitation and moderate southerly winds. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatology for mid-September, where average lows hover near 22°C, and multiple forecast models converged on stable overnight temperatures without significant cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects the high reliability of verified station data once the meteorological day concluded. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision or station-specific discrepancy could alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for Tokyo's primary reporting site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月13日東京的最低溫度？
9月13日東京的最低溫度？
20°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$10,790 交易量
$10,790 交易量
2026-09-13
17°C或以下
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
是
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C或以上
否
20°C 100.0%
17°C或以下 <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$10,790 交易量
$10,790 交易量
2026-09-13
17°C或以下
$158 交易量
否
18°C
$569 交易量
否
19°C
$2,073 交易量
否
20°C
$1,434 交易量
是
21°C
$3,109 交易量
否
22°C
$1,917 交易量
否
23°C
$869 交易量
否
24°C
$242 交易量
否
25°C
$195 交易量
否
26°C
$85 交易量
否
27°C或以上
$138 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light early precipitation and moderate southerly winds. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatology for mid-September, where average lows hover near 22°C, and multiple forecast models converged on stable overnight temperatures without significant cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects the high reliability of verified station data once the meteorological day concluded. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision or station-specific discrepancy could alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for Tokyo's primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$10,790結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light early precipitation and moderate southerly winds. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatology for mid-September, where average lows hover near 22°C, and multiple forecast models converged on stable overnight temperatures without significant cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects the high reliability of verified station data once the meteorological day concluded. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision or station-specific discrepancy could alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for Tokyo's primary reporting site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$10,790結束日期
2026-09-13市場開放時間
Sep 11, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Official observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency recorded a daily minimum of exactly 20°C in Tokyo on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light early precipitation and moderate southerly winds. This outcome aligned closely with seasonal climatology for mid-September, where average lows hover near 22°C, and multiple forecast models converged on stable overnight temperatures without significant cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 20°C reflects the high reliability of verified station data once the meteorological day concluded. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision or station-specific discrepancy could alter resolution, though historical patterns show such adjustments are rare for Tokyo's primary reporting site.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions