Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by a westward-moving frontal system introducing cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. September has run 2–3°C above the 14°C climatological normal so far, but a sharp cooldown begins around the 20th–21st as westerly flow strengthens. Model consensus shows modest spread on exact minimum timing and cloud thickness, keeping the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while narrower bands around 13–15°C reflect the tightest forecast cluster. Updated runs from ECMWF, ICON, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the front arrives early enough to push readings toward the lower end of the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月20日華沙的最低溫度？
9月20日華沙的最低溫度？
11°C或以下 100%
21°C或更高 100%
14°C 40%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
11°C或以下
100%
12°C
39%
13°C
30%
14°C
40%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
39%
21°C或更高
100%
11°C或以下 100%
21°C或更高 100%
14°C 40%
12°C 39%
最新
最新
2026-09-20
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
100%
12°C
$0 交易量
39%
13°C
$0 交易量
30%
14°C
$24 交易量
40%
15°C
$0 交易量
39%
16°C
$0 交易量
39%
17°C
$0 交易量
39%
18°C
$0 交易量
39%
19°C
$0 交易量
39%
20°C
$0 交易量
39%
21°C或更高
$0 交易量
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by a westward-moving frontal system introducing cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. September has run 2–3°C above the 14°C climatological normal so far, but a sharp cooldown begins around the 20th–21st as westerly flow strengthens. Model consensus shows modest spread on exact minimum timing and cloud thickness, keeping the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while narrower bands around 13–15°C reflect the tightest forecast cluster. Updated runs from ECMWF, ICON, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the front arrives early enough to push readings toward the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by a westward-moving frontal system introducing cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. September has run 2–3°C above the 14°C climatological normal so far, but a sharp cooldown begins around the 20th–21st as westerly flow strengthens. Model consensus shows modest spread on exact minimum timing and cloud thickness, keeping the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while narrower bands around 13–15°C reflect the tightest forecast cluster. Updated runs from ECMWF, ICON, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the front arrives early enough to push readings toward the lower end of the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$24結束日期
2026-09-20市場開放時間
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple models indicate Warsaw's overnight low on September 20 will likely fall between 12–14°C, driven by a westward-moving frontal system introducing cooler maritime air, increased cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit radiative cooling. September has run 2–3°C above the 14°C climatological normal so far, but a sharp cooldown begins around the 20th–21st as westerly flow strengthens. Model consensus shows modest spread on exact minimum timing and cloud thickness, keeping the 11°C-or-below and 21°C-or-higher outcomes nearly even in trader pricing while narrower bands around 13–15°C reflect the tightest forecast cluster. Updated runs from ECMWF, ICON, and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether the front arrives early enough to push readings toward the lower end of the range.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions