The tight race for Mato Grosso governor reflects shifting polling leads between incumbent Otaviano Pivetta and challenger Wellington Fagundes ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados show Pivetta ahead in some scenarios by margins of 5–13 points, while others indicate Fagundes competitive or narrowly leading earlier in the cycle, with high undecided shares and regional variations across the state’s seven geographic areas. Campaign activity centers on agricultural policy differences, including Pivetta’s pledge against renewing the FETHAB 2 tax and critiques of federal bureaucracy, alongside candidate agendas, sabatinas, and coalition alignments. Trader consensus at near-even implied probabilities captures the impact of late undecided voters, potential second-round dynamics, and limited separation among lower-polling contenders such as Doutora Natasha.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於威靈頓·法古恩德斯 50%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 47%
娜塔莎醫生 1.7%
毛里西奧·科埃略 <1%
$27,939 交易量
$27,939 交易量
2027-06-30
威靈頓·法古恩德斯
50%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔
47%
娜塔莎醫生
2%
毛里西奧·科埃略
<1%
Rafaell Milas
<1%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧
<1%
威靈頓·法古恩德斯 50%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔 47%
娜塔莎醫生 1.7%
毛里西奧·科埃略 <1%
$27,939 交易量
$27,939 交易量
2027-06-30
威靈頓·法古恩德斯
$14,503 交易量
50%
奧塔維亞諾·皮維塔
$9,083 交易量
47%
娜塔莎醫生
$1,397 交易量
2%
毛里西奧·科埃略
$1,396 交易量
<1%
Rafaell Milas
$870 交易量
<1%
薩金托·勞迪塞里奧
$689 交易量
<1%
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Mato Grosso governor reflects shifting polling leads between incumbent Otaviano Pivetta and challenger Wellington Fagundes ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados show Pivetta ahead in some scenarios by margins of 5–13 points, while others indicate Fagundes competitive or narrowly leading earlier in the cycle, with high undecided shares and regional variations across the state’s seven geographic areas. Campaign activity centers on agricultural policy differences, including Pivetta’s pledge against renewing the FETHAB 2 tax and critiques of federal bureaucracy, alongside candidate agendas, sabatinas, and coalition alignments. Trader consensus at near-even implied probabilities captures the impact of late undecided voters, potential second-round dynamics, and limited separation among lower-polling contenders such as Doutora Natasha.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
市場開放時間： Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ET
交易量
$27,939結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETThe Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The tight race for Mato Grosso governor reflects shifting polling leads between incumbent Otaviano Pivetta and challenger Wellington Fagundes ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados show Pivetta ahead in some scenarios by margins of 5–13 points, while others indicate Fagundes competitive or narrowly leading earlier in the cycle, with high undecided shares and regional variations across the state’s seven geographic areas. Campaign activity centers on agricultural policy differences, including Pivetta’s pledge against renewing the FETHAB 2 tax and critiques of federal bureaucracy, alongside candidate agendas, sabatinas, and coalition alignments. Trader consensus at near-even implied probabilities captures the impact of late undecided voters, potential second-round dynamics, and limited separation among lower-polling contenders such as Doutora Natasha.
The Mato Grosso gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
交易量
$27,939結束日期
2027-07-01市場開放時間
Aug 17, 2026, 5:34 AM ETThe tight race for Mato Grosso governor reflects shifting polling leads between incumbent Otaviano Pivetta and challenger Wellington Fagundes ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. Recent surveys from institutes including Paraná Pesquisas and MT Dados show Pivetta ahead in some scenarios by margins of 5–13 points, while others indicate Fagundes competitive or narrowly leading earlier in the cycle, with high undecided shares and regional variations across the state’s seven geographic areas. Campaign activity centers on agricultural policy differences, including Pivetta’s pledge against renewing the FETHAB 2 tax and critiques of federal bureaucracy, alongside candidate agendas, sabatinas, and coalition alignments. Trader consensus at near-even implied probabilities captures the impact of late undecided voters, potential second-round dynamics, and limited separation among lower-polling contenders such as Doutora Natasha.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions