Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Eric Burlison’s 71.5% victory in 2024. Burlison secured the Republican nomination on August 4, 2026, with 73.8% of the primary vote, while Democrat Missi Hesketh advanced unopposed. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s southwestern Missouri voter base, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive polling or national headwinds that would typically shift outcomes in less partisan terrain. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap but face structural barriers in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$23,359 交易量
$23,359 交易量
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
$23,359 交易量
$23,359 交易量
共和黨
95%
民主黨
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Missouri’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles, including incumbent Eric Burlison’s 71.5% victory in 2024. Burlison secured the Republican nomination on August 4, 2026, with 73.8% of the primary vote, while Democrat Missi Hesketh advanced unopposed. Forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican heading into the November 3 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee aligns with the district’s southwestern Missouri voter base, limited Democratic fundraising, and absence of competitive polling or national headwinds that would typically shift outcomes in less partisan terrain. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected turnout surge could narrow the gap but face structural barriers in this environment.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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