Persistent regional tensions, including ongoing Israeli military operations in Lebanon and Gaza alongside incomplete ceasefires with Iran, have stalled momentum for new Abraham Accords accessions ahead of the June 30 deadline. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a requirement that remains unfulfilled amid stalled diplomatic efforts. While Kazakhstan formally joined in early 2026 and Somaliland signaled interest following its December 2025 recognition by Israel, these steps have not triggered follow-on agreements with other Arab or Muslim-majority states. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to no new country joining by June 30, reflecting the absence of imminent breakthroughs in bilateral negotiations or U.S.-brokered summits within the narrow remaining window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$24,753 交易量
$24,753 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$24,753 交易量
$24,753 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Persistent regional tensions, including ongoing Israeli military operations in Lebanon and Gaza alongside incomplete ceasefires with Iran, have stalled momentum for new Abraham Accords accessions ahead of the June 30 deadline. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a requirement that remains unfulfilled amid stalled diplomatic efforts. While Kazakhstan formally joined in early 2026 and Somaliland signaled interest following its December 2025 recognition by Israel, these steps have not triggered follow-on agreements with other Arab or Muslim-majority states. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to no new country joining by June 30, reflecting the absence of imminent breakthroughs in bilateral negotiations or U.S.-brokered summits within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
交易量
$24,753結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Persistent regional tensions, including ongoing Israeli military operations in Lebanon and Gaza alongside incomplete ceasefires with Iran, have stalled momentum for new Abraham Accords accessions ahead of the June 30 deadline. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a requirement that remains unfulfilled amid stalled diplomatic efforts. While Kazakhstan formally joined in early 2026 and Somaliland signaled interest following its December 2025 recognition by Israel, these steps have not triggered follow-on agreements with other Arab or Muslim-majority states. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to no new country joining by June 30, reflecting the absence of imminent breakthroughs in bilateral negotiations or U.S.-brokered summits within the narrow remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement.
For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country.
Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$24,753結束日期
2026-06-30市場開放時間
Apr 1, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent regional tensions, including ongoing Israeli military operations in Lebanon and Gaza alongside incomplete ceasefires with Iran, have stalled momentum for new Abraham Accords accessions ahead of the June 30 deadline. Saudi Arabia continues to condition any normalization on concrete progress toward a Palestinian state, a requirement that remains unfulfilled amid stalled diplomatic efforts. While Kazakhstan formally joined in early 2026 and Somaliland signaled interest following its December 2025 recognition by Israel, these steps have not triggered follow-on agreements with other Arab or Muslim-majority states. Traders assign an 89.5% implied probability to no new country joining by June 30, reflecting the absence of imminent breakthroughs in bilateral negotiations or U.S.-brokered summits within the narrow remaining window.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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