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icon for 以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?

以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?

icon for 以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?

以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?

12月 31

12月 31

12% 機率
Polymarket

$67,714 交易量

12% 機率
Polymarket

$67,714 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli officials have prioritized incremental administrative measures over formal sovereignty claims in the West Bank, with the most recent steps including February 2026 land registration reforms that transfer oversight from military to civilian ministries and April 2026 cabinet approval of 34 additional settlements. These actions advance de facto control yet stop short of the legislative declaration of annexation that would trigger international sanctions and U.S. opposition voiced by the Trump administration. Historical precedent shows similar symbolic Knesset resolutions in 2025 were later set aside amid diplomatic pressure from Washington and regional partners. With only months remaining before the 2027 deadline and no active bill advancing through required votes, traders assign an 88 percent probability that formal annexation will not occur, reflecting the gap between ongoing settlement expansion and the political barriers to a binding sovereignty measure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$67,714
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Israeli officials have prioritized incremental administrative measures over formal sovereignty claims in the West Bank, with the most recent steps including February 2026 land registration reforms that transfer oversight from military to civilian ministries and April 2026 cabinet approval of 34 additional settlements. These actions advance de facto control yet stop short of the legislative declaration of annexation that would trigger international sanctions and U.S. opposition voiced by the Trump administration. Historical precedent shows similar symbolic Knesset resolutions in 2025 were later set aside amid diplomatic pressure from Washington and regional partners. With only months remaining before the 2027 deadline and no active bill advancing through required votes, traders assign an 88 percent probability that formal annexation will not occur, reflecting the gap between ongoing settlement expansion and the political barriers to a binding sovereignty measure.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$67,714
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 5, 2025, 2:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel officially annexes any territory in the West Bank by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the Israeli government claiming sovereignty over territory in the West Bank they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation. Qualifying examples of annexation include the 1980 Jerusalem Law, and the Golan Heights Law, however instances where Israeli settlers claiming administrative control over land in the West Bank without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Israeli government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "以色列會在2027年前併吞約旦河西岸領土嗎?" at 12%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 12¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?" has generated $67.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?" is "以色列會在2027年前併吞約旦河西岸領土嗎?" at 12%, meaning the market assigns a 12% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "以色列會在2027年之前吞併約旦河西岸領土嗎?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.