Wyoming’s strongly Republican electoral environment and consistent statewide voting patterns underpin the 96.9% Republican probability in the 2026 gubernatorial race. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon drew a competitive August 18 Republican primary that state Senator Eric Barlow won with 45% of the vote, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kenneth Casner, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held every statewide office for years and no Democrat has won a statewide contest since 2006. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current candidate positioning make such shifts improbable before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$10,915 交易量
$10,915 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican
97%
Democrat
3%
$10,915 交易量
$10,915 交易量
2026-11-02
Republican
$8,523 交易量
97%
Democrat
$2,392 交易量
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming’s strongly Republican electoral environment and consistent statewide voting patterns underpin the 96.9% Republican probability in the 2026 gubernatorial race. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon drew a competitive August 18 Republican primary that state Senator Eric Barlow won with 45% of the vote, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kenneth Casner, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held every statewide office for years and no Democrat has won a statewide contest since 2006. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current candidate positioning make such shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
市場開放時間： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
交易量
$10,915結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming’s strongly Republican electoral environment and consistent statewide voting patterns underpin the 96.9% Republican probability in the 2026 gubernatorial race. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon drew a competitive August 18 Republican primary that state Senator Eric Barlow won with 45% of the vote, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kenneth Casner, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held every statewide office for years and no Democrat has won a statewide contest since 2006. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current candidate positioning make such shifts improbable before election day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
交易量
$10,915結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETWyoming’s strongly Republican electoral environment and consistent statewide voting patterns underpin the 96.9% Republican probability in the 2026 gubernatorial race. The open seat created by term-limited incumbent Mark Gordon drew a competitive August 18 Republican primary that state Senator Eric Barlow won with 45% of the vote, consolidating support ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Kenneth Casner, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a state where Republicans have held every statewide office for years and no Democrat has won a statewide contest since 2006. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A late-breaking scandal involving the nominee or an unprecedented turnout surge could theoretically narrow the margin, though historical base rates and current candidate positioning make such shifts improbable before election day.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions