Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于27-29 64%
24-26 30%
21-23 8.3%
30-32 7.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
<21
2%
21-23
8%
24-26
30%
27-29
55%
30-32
7%
33+
3%
27-29 64%
24-26 30%
21-23 8.3%
30-32 7.1%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
<21
$397 交易量
2%
21-23
$334 交易量
8%
24-26
$127 交易量
30%
27-29
$444 交易量
55%
30-32
$153 交易量
7%
33+
$1,629 交易量
3%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
交易量
$3,085结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$3,085结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors PSOE-A securing 27-29 seats at 50% implied probability in the Andalusian Parliament election on May 17, reflecting the latest polls from May 4-11—such as Sigma Dos (27-30 seats), SocioMétrica (27-28), and Data10 (27)—which project the party at 21-25% vote share, down from 30 seats in 2022 amid incumbent PP's strength under Juanma Moreno nearing absolute majority and fragmentation on the left between Por Andalucía and Adelante Andalucía. The 24-26 range at 29.5% captures lower-end estimates like EM-Analytics' 25 seats, while higher outcomes recede as PSOE's national challenges and steady polling trends solidify expectations three days out.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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