With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于16-18 42%
13-15 34%
19-21 26%
<13 10.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
<13
10%
13-15
30%
16-18
42%
19-21
26%
22+
5%
16-18 42%
13-15 34%
19-21 26%
<13 10.0%
最新
最新
2026-05-17
<13
$244 交易量
10%
13-15
$456 交易量
30%
16-18
$409 交易量
42%
19-21
$1,071 交易量
26%
22+
$575 交易量
5%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
交易量
$2,755结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
交易量
$2,755结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...With the Andalusian regional election five days away on May 17, trader consensus prices VOX seats in a tight 16-18 range at 39%, mirroring divergent final polls projecting 13-19 seats amid stable 13-15% vote shares. Recent Sigma Dos (13-14 seats) and IMOP Insights (17-19) surveys highlight uncertainty from provincial D'Hondt seat allocations, where VOX risks losses in strongholds like Almería but potential gains in Sevilla. May 4 and 11 debates intensified right-wing vote competition, as incumbent PP leader Juanma Moreno absorbs transfers while critiquing VOX's "national priority" immigration stance, stalling its growth from 14 seats in 2022. Final turnout and undecideds could tip toward higher or lower bins before polls close.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题