Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads first-round polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election, positioning Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the main challenger expected to finish second. Flávio, running for the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility, polls around 36 percent behind Lula’s roughly 39 percent in recent surveys from Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. Fragmented backing for other right-wing candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos keeps their shares in single digits, while a recent Banco Master scandal linked to Flávio has not altered these standings. Tight runoff simulations reinforce trader focus on Flávio securing the runner-up spot ahead of the first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 62%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦 15%
雷南·桑托斯 7.3%
Romeu Zema 6.3%
$3,523,394 交易量
$3,523,394 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
62%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
15%
雷南·桑托斯
7%
Romeu Zema
6%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
4%
费尔南多·哈达
3%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
2%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
1%
赫拉尔多·阿尔克明
1%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
<1%
拉蒂尼奥·儒尼奥尔
<1%
奥尔多·雷贝洛
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
<1%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗 62%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦 15%
雷南·桑托斯 7.3%
Romeu Zema 6.3%
$3,523,394 交易量
$3,523,394 交易量
2026-10-04
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$56,395 交易量
62%
路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦
$67,153 交易量
15%
雷南·桑托斯
$995,930 交易量
7%
Romeu Zema
$256,381 交易量
6%
米歇尔·博索纳罗
$72,825 交易量
4%
费尔南多·哈达
$651,329 交易量
3%
卡米洛·桑塔纳
$56,064 交易量
2%
特雷莎·克里斯蒂娜
$2,848 交易量
1%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$289,157 交易量
1%
赫拉尔多·阿尔克明
$123,364 交易量
1%
塔尔西西奥·德·弗雷塔斯
$111,040 交易量
<1%
拉蒂尼奥·儒尼奥尔
$642,631 交易量
<1%
奥尔多·雷贝洛
$29,825 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·博尔索纳罗
$48,401 交易量
<1%
埃尔德·巴尔巴略
$2,246 交易量
<1%
雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗
$77,363 交易量
<1%
爱德华多·莱特
$40,500 交易量
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads first-round polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election, positioning Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the main challenger expected to finish second. Flávio, running for the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility, polls around 36 percent behind Lula’s roughly 39 percent in recent surveys from Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. Fragmented backing for other right-wing candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos keeps their shares in single digits, while a recent Banco Master scandal linked to Flávio has not altered these standings. Tight runoff simulations reinforce trader focus on Flávio securing the runner-up spot ahead of the first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ET
交易量
$3,523,394结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads first-round polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election, positioning Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the main challenger expected to finish second. Flávio, running for the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility, polls around 36 percent behind Lula’s roughly 39 percent in recent surveys from Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. Fragmented backing for other right-wing candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos keeps their shares in single digits, while a recent Banco Master scandal linked to Flávio has not altered these standings. Tight runoff simulations reinforce trader focus on Flávio securing the runner-up spot ahead of the first round.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$3,523,394结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Feb 11, 2026, 5:47 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leads first-round polling for Brazil’s October 2026 presidential election, positioning Senator Flávio Bolsonaro as the main challenger expected to finish second. Flávio, running for the Liberal Party after his father Jair Bolsonaro’s endorsement and ineligibility, polls around 36 percent behind Lula’s roughly 39 percent in recent surveys from Quaest, Ideia, and Futura. Fragmented backing for other right-wing candidates such as Romeu Zema, Ronaldo Caiado, and Renan Santos keeps their shares in single digits, while a recent Banco Master scandal linked to Flávio has not altered these standings. Tight runoff simulations reinforce trader focus on Flávio securing the runner-up spot ahead of the first round.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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