Recent model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, favoring a peak temperature near 20–21°C on May 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological averages of 21–22°C but follows cooler northerly advection that suppressed highs to 15–18°C earlier in the week. Differentiating the closely matched 20°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on afternoon solar insolation and any lingering cloud cover that could trim maximums by 1–2°C, while stable conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 23°C. Traders weigh these subtle shifts ahead of the next model cycle and official observations from Esenboğa.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月19日安卡拉的最高温度?
21°C 33%
20°C 28%
22°C 18%
19°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
13%
19°C
14%
20°C
28%
21°C
33%
22°C
18%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
21°C 33%
20°C 28%
22°C 18%
19°C 14%
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
7%
18°C
13%
19°C
14%
20°C
28%
21°C
33%
22°C
18%
23°C
5%
24°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 17, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent model guidance from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and ECMWF consensus points to a building high-pressure ridge over central Anatolia, favoring a peak temperature near 20–21°C on May 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. This setup aligns with mid-May climatological averages of 21–22°C but follows cooler northerly advection that suppressed highs to 15–18°C earlier in the week. Differentiating the closely matched 20°C and 21°C outcomes hinges on afternoon solar insolation and any lingering cloud cover that could trim maximums by 1–2°C, while stable conditions reduce the chance of exceeding 23°C. Traders weigh these subtle shifts ahead of the next model cycle and official observations from Esenboğa.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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