Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (39.5% implied probability) in Atlanta on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's (NWS) latest afternoon forecast update projecting exactly 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a weak cold front passing through late on May 13, ushering in drier continental air and suppressing highs below seasonal norms—May averages around 83°F historically. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS aligns closely, showing minimal spread around the mid-70s amid building high pressure aloft. Lower odds for 72-73°F (21.5%) and 76-77°F (23.5%) reflect typical day-ahead uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with an evening NWS update potentially refining these market-implied odds further as observations confirm frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 14?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on May 14?
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 22%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 7.0%
$16,300 交易量
$16,300 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 41%
72-73°F 22%
76-77°F 21%
70-71°F 7.0%
$16,300 交易量
$16,300 交易量
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
7%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
41%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 74-75°F (39.5% implied probability) in Atlanta on May 14, driven by the National Weather Service's (NWS) latest afternoon forecast update projecting exactly 74°F under sunny skies. This positioning stems from a weak cold front passing through late on May 13, ushering in drier continental air and suppressing highs below seasonal norms—May averages around 83°F historically. Ensemble guidance from models like GFS aligns closely, showing minimal spread around the mid-70s amid building high pressure aloft. Lower odds for 72-73°F (21.5%) and 76-77°F (23.5%) reflect typical day-ahead uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, with an evening NWS update potentially refining these market-implied odds further as observations confirm frontal passage.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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