Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 交易量
$63,201 交易量
2026-05-16
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
Yes
90°F or higher 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$63,201 交易量
$63,201 交易量
2026-05-16
71°F or below
$9,296 交易量
No
72-73°F
$7,260 交易量
No
74-75°F
$2,682 交易量
No
76-77°F
$3,107 交易量
No
78-79°F
$2,088 交易量
No
80-81°F
$3,704 交易量
No
82-83°F
$2,475 交易量
No
84-85°F
$2,543 交易量
No
86-87°F
$7,599 交易量
No
88-89°F
$13,587 交易量
No
90°F or higher
$8,861 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$63,201结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$63,201结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus for Austin-Bergstrom International Airport established a daily high of 90°F or higher on May 16 under a warm, dry air mass and strong high-pressure ridge, which promoted intense daytime heating with minimal cloud cover and light southerly winds. This setup pushed temperatures well above the mid-May climatological average near 86°F, creating near-certain market-implied odds for the 90°F threshold once observations confirmed the outcome. Unlikely scenarios that could have altered resolution include unexpected afternoon convection or a rapid shift in steering patterns, though official measurements aligned closely with the dominant forecast guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题