Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日芝加哥的最高温度？
8月25日芝加哥的最高温度？
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
51%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
4%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
<1%
90°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 51%
78-79°F 32%
82-83°F 13%
76-77°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
71°F或以下
$310 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$25 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$105 交易量
<1%
76-77°F
$206 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$182 交易量
32%
80-81°F
$632 交易量
51%
82-83°F
$143 交易量
13%
84-85°F
$274 交易量
4%
86-87°F
$100 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$15 交易量
<1%
90°F或更高
$15 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
交易量
$2,008结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,008结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a stable air mass with light northwest winds shifting northeast over Chicago on August 25, supporting daytime highs near or slightly below the late-August climatological average of about 81–82°F at official observation sites. Lake Michigan moderation is expected to temper peaks along the shoreline while urban heat island effects allow slightly warmer readings inland, aligning with the market-implied concentration around 80–81°F. Traders are weighting these factors against minor model spreads on cloud cover and any weak frontal passage, with resolution based on official maximum temperature records rather than forecasts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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