National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
Highest temperature in Chicago on May 14?
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
最新
$47,167 交易量
最新
$47,167 交易量
2026-05-14
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44-45°F
<1%
46-47°F
<1%
48-49°F
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56°F or higher
99%
56°F or higher 99.4%
54-55°F <1%
48-49°F <1%
37°F or below <1%
最新
$47,167 交易量
最新
$47,167 交易量
2026-05-14
37°F or below
$5,479 交易量
<1%
38-39°F
$2,982 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$701 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$2,150 交易量
<1%
44-45°F
$2,188 交易量
<1%
46-47°F
$2,198 交易量
<1%
48-49°F
$3,181 交易量
<1%
50-51°F
$2,508 交易量
<1%
52-53°F
$2,804 交易量
<1%
54-55°F
$4,466 交易量
<1%
56°F or higher
$18,512 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$47,167结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$47,167结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:17 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts for Chicago indicate a high temperature near 57°F on May 14 under mostly cloudy skies and north-northwest winds of 10-15 mph, driving trader consensus to 99.5% odds on 56°F or higher. This positioning reflects strong model agreement across GFS, ECMWF, and NAM ensembles, which show a stable cool air mass from recent northerly flow suppressing temperatures below seasonal norms of around 68°F. Observational data from Chicago O'Hare International Airport—where highs are officially measured—confirm persistent cloud cover and lack of significant warm advection in the latest 12-24 hour updates. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, scenarios challenging this include unexpected clearing leading to greater solar heating or a stalled front allowing southerly winds, though current guidance shows low likelihood before evening resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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