Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月14日广州气温最高？
5月14日广州气温最高？
29°C 37%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 13.6%
最新
$14,155 交易量
最新
$14,155 交易量
2026-05-14
28°C
20%
29°C
37%
30°C
27%
31°C
14%
32°C
4%
33℃
1%
34℃或更高
<1%
29°C 37%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 13.6%
最新
$14,155 交易量
最新
$14,155 交易量
2026-05-14
28°C
$1,141 交易量
20%
29°C
$867 交易量
37%
30°C
$489 交易量
27%
31°C
$633 交易量
14%
32°C
$720 交易量
4%
33℃
$756 交易量
1%
34℃或更高
$756 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$14,155结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,155结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Guangzhou's May 14 high temperature, with 29°C (22.5%), 28°C (20.5%), and 30°C (18.5%) leading amid an incoming rain system. Recent National Hurricane Center analogs aren't applicable here, but updated ensemble models from sources like ECMWF and GFS, aggregated in forecasts from AccuWeather and TimeandDate, project highs of 28-29°C under overcast skies and 91-95% precipitation probability, a drop from May 12's 31°C amid stray thunderstorms. Differentiating factors include potential breaks in persistent cloud cover allowing brief solar heating to push toward 30°C, versus widespread rain suppressing peaks near 28°C; high humidity (80%+) and light ESE winds further temper extremes. New model runs and China Meteorological Administration updates expected within 24 hours could refine this before resolution at Baiyun Airport station.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题