Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月15日广州气温最高？
5月15日广州气温最高？
30°C或更高 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 交易量
$29,603 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29℃
否
30°C或更高
是
30°C或更高 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,603 交易量
$29,603 交易量
2026-05-15
20°C或以下
$486 交易量
否
21°C
$1,471 交易量
否
22°C
$1,277 交易量
否
23°C
$1,278 交易量
否
24°C
$430 交易量
否
25°C
$1,673 交易量
否
26°C
$1,623 交易量
否
27°C
$3,106 交易量
否
28°C
$5,053 交易量
否
29℃
$3,422 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$9,783 交易量
是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$29,603结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$29,603结束日期
2026-05-15市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high of 30°C or higher in Guangzhou today, backed by unanimous forecast model agreement from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, projecting peaks of 31–33°C under a strengthening subtropical ridge, low humidity, and abundant solar heating. Morning observations at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport already surpass 28°C with minimal cloud interference, consistent with May climatology where average highs hit 30°C amid seasonal warming. Realistic challenges—such as an unforeseen marine inflow or convective cloud burst capping daytime heating—remain improbable per current soundings, with final hourly data expected by evening local time to confirm resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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