Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C for Helsinki on August 5, driven by mild late-summer conditions, moderate westerly winds, and Baltic Sea moderation limiting daytime heating. Trader positioning reflects narrow uncertainty bands around this value, with 21°C and 22°C outcomes dominant due to minor model spread in peak afternoon readings and potential for localized variations at official stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Typical early-August climatology supports highs of 19–21°C absent strong high-pressure systems or clear-sky amplification, while low probabilities for extremes align with stable atmospheric patterns and absence of recent heat advection. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日赫尔辛基气温最高?
21°C 44%
22°C 36%
20°C 18%
23°C 2%
$13,856 交易量
$13,856 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
36%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 44%
22°C 36%
20°C 18%
23°C 2%
$13,856 交易量
$13,856 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
18%
21°C
44%
22°C
36%
23°C
2%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast consensus from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF models indicates a maximum temperature near 21°C for Helsinki on August 5, driven by mild late-summer conditions, moderate westerly winds, and Baltic Sea moderation limiting daytime heating. Trader positioning reflects narrow uncertainty bands around this value, with 21°C and 22°C outcomes dominant due to minor model spread in peak afternoon readings and potential for localized variations at official stations like Helsinki-Vantaa. Typical early-August climatology supports highs of 19–21°C absent strong high-pressure systems or clear-sky amplification, while low probabilities for extremes align with stable atmospheric patterns and absence of recent heat advection. Updated model runs and real-time observations will refine resolution criteria as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题