Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and supporting global model runs point to a daytime maximum near 22–24°C at the Helsinki-Vantaa station on August 6, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C. Southerly flow and limited cloud cover support modest warming above seasonal norms, while any increase in onshore breeze or thicker marine layer could cap readings at 22–23°C. Trader positioning, with 24°C at 46.5% implied probability ahead of 23°C (28.5%) and 25°C (13.5%), reflects this narrow forecast range and the low historical frequency of 26°C+ in the first week of August. Updated afternoon model cycles and real-time observations will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日赫尔辛基气温最高?
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 14%
22°C 8%
18°C或以下
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
8%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
14%
26°C
6%
27°C
1%
28°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Finnish Meteorological Institute guidance and supporting global model runs point to a daytime maximum near 22–24°C at the Helsinki-Vantaa station on August 6, consistent with early-August climatology where average highs reach 19–21°C. Southerly flow and limited cloud cover support modest warming above seasonal norms, while any increase in onshore breeze or thicker marine layer could cap readings at 22–23°C. Trader positioning, with 24°C at 46.5% implied probability ahead of 23°C (28.5%) and 25°C (13.5%), reflects this narrow forecast range and the low historical frequency of 26°C+ in the first week of August. Updated afternoon model cycles and real-time observations will refine the exact peak ahead of market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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