Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日休斯顿的最高温度？
8月4日休斯顿的最高温度？
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 交易量
$31,778 交易量
2026-08-04
87°F或以下
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
否
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
是
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
100-101°F
否
102-103°F
否
104-105°F
否
106华氏度或更高
否
94-95°F 100.0%
87°F或以下 <1%
88-89°F <1%
90-91°F <1%
$31,778 交易量
$31,778 交易量
2026-08-04
87°F或以下
$383 交易量
否
88-89°F
$697 交易量
否
90-91°F
$1,776 交易量
否
92-93°F
$2,595 交易量
否
94-95°F
$10,981 交易量
是
96-97°F
$7,832 交易量
否
98-99°F
$3,959 交易量
否
100-101°F
$1,181 交易量
否
102-103°F
$1,283 交易量
否
104-105°F
$498 交易量
否
106华氏度或更高
$592 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$31,778结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the William P. Hobby Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$31,778结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service forecasts and NOAA numerical weather prediction models converged on a daily maximum of 94–95°F in Houston on August 4, 2026, driven by persistent high pressure, light winds, and abundant late-summer sunshine typical for the region. This alignment with climatological norms—where August averages hover near 94°F at stations like William P. Hobby Airport—produced overwhelming market consensus at 100% implied probability for the 94-95°F bin. Scenarios that could have challenged this outcome, such as unexpected cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or model shifts from the European ensemble, remained low-probability based on real-time observations and did not materialize before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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