**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
8月6日伊斯坦布尔气温最高？
28°C 52%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
52%
29°C
25%
30°C
3%
31°C
1%
32°C或更高
<1%
28°C 52%
29°C 25%
27°C 20%
26°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
22°C或以下
$397 交易量
<1%
23°C
$439 交易量
<1%
24°C
$172 交易量
<1%
25°C
$58 交易量
<1%
26°C
$106 交易量
5%
27°C
$300 交易量
20%
28°C
$875 交易量
52%
29°C
$218 交易量
25%
30°C
$72 交易量
3%
31°C
$96 交易量
1%
32°C或更高
$68 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,800结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,800结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and typical late-summer patterns position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul’s August 6 maximum temperature.** Long-term August averages show daily highs near 27–29°C, moderated by Black Sea and Marmara breezes that limit extreme heat. Recent model consensus for the coming day points to stable high pressure and light winds, favoring a peak around 28°C rather than a stronger heat surge or cooler maritime air. Shorter-range guidance shows only modest day-to-day variability, keeping 29°C as a plausible but less favored alternative while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low. Traders are effectively pricing the narrow range of outcomes consistent with current ensemble forecasts and the absence of any significant synoptic shift expected before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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