Persistent summer heat across northern China underpins the market's near-100% implied odds for a Jinan daily maximum of 26°C or higher on August 15. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project highs of 31–34°C amid typical mid-August conditions, consistent with historical climatology for Shandong where August averages exceed 30°C and recent high-temperature warnings have documented peaks above 35°C earlier in the month. Model consensus shows no significant cooling from fronts or heavy precipitation on this date. Resolution hinges on verified observational data, with only an atypical rapid intrusion of cooler maritime air or measurement anomaly capable of realistically shifting the outcome below the dominant threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月15日济南气温最高？
8月15日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,756 交易量
$2,756 交易量
2026-08-15
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
Yes
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$2,756 交易量
$2,756 交易量
2026-08-15
16°C or below
$232 交易量
No
17°C
$232 交易量
No
18°C
$232 交易量
No
19°C
$232 交易量
No
20°C
$222 交易量
No
21°C
$152 交易量
No
22°C
$152 交易量
No
23°C
$152 交易量
No
24°C
$152 交易量
No
25°C
$151 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$849 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China underpins the market's near-100% implied odds for a Jinan daily maximum of 26°C or higher on August 15. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project highs of 31–34°C amid typical mid-August conditions, consistent with historical climatology for Shandong where August averages exceed 30°C and recent high-temperature warnings have documented peaks above 35°C earlier in the month. Model consensus shows no significant cooling from fronts or heavy precipitation on this date. Resolution hinges on verified observational data, with only an atypical rapid intrusion of cooler maritime air or measurement anomaly capable of realistically shifting the outcome below the dominant threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$2,756结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer heat across northern China underpins the market's near-100% implied odds for a Jinan daily maximum of 26°C or higher on August 15. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project highs of 31–34°C amid typical mid-August conditions, consistent with historical climatology for Shandong where August averages exceed 30°C and recent high-temperature warnings have documented peaks above 35°C earlier in the month. Model consensus shows no significant cooling from fronts or heavy precipitation on this date. Resolution hinges on verified observational data, with only an atypical rapid intrusion of cooler maritime air or measurement anomaly capable of realistically shifting the outcome below the dominant threshold.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,756结束日期
2026-08-15市场开放时间
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
Persistent summer heat across northern China underpins the market's near-100% implied odds for a Jinan daily maximum of 26°C or higher on August 15. Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources project highs of 31–34°C amid typical mid-August conditions, consistent with historical climatology for Shandong where August averages exceed 30°C and recent high-temperature warnings have documented peaks above 35°C earlier in the month. Model consensus shows no significant cooling from fronts or heavy precipitation on this date. Resolution hinges on verified observational data, with only an atypical rapid intrusion of cooler maritime air or measurement anomaly capable of realistically shifting the outcome below the dominant threshold.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题