Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated late May 13 projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C with hourly peaks at 12°C around mid-afternoon, amid light showers, northerly winds gusting to 21 mph, and precipitation chances peaking at 70-80%. BBC Weather aligns with a 13°C high under cloudier conditions from the west, scattered showers, and a slight thunder risk, suppressing solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Northerly airflow advects cooler air masses below mid-May climatological norms (typically 16-18°C), with recent May 13 observations of blustery showers capping maxima at 15°C. Model consensus indicates limited intensification potential, though drier evening spells could nudge toward 14°C; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in London on May 14?
Highest temperature in London on May 14?
12°C 39%
13°C 27%
11°C 15.1%
14°C 14%
最新
$82,009 交易量
最新
$82,009 交易量
2026-05-14
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
5%
11°C
15%
12°C
39%
13°C
27%
14°C
14%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 39%
13°C 27%
11°C 15.1%
14°C 14%
最新
$82,009 交易量
最新
$82,009 交易量
2026-05-14
7°C or below
$5,152 交易量
<1%
8°C
$4,011 交易量
<1%
9°C
$13,966 交易量
1%
10°C
$13,097 交易量
5%
11°C
$6,858 交易量
15%
12°C
$5,019 交易量
39%
13°C
$6,757 交易量
27%
14°C
$7,547 交易量
14%
15°C
$7,849 交易量
2%
16°C
$6,791 交易量
1%
17°C or higher
$4,963 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated late May 13 projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C with hourly peaks at 12°C around mid-afternoon, amid light showers, northerly winds gusting to 21 mph, and precipitation chances peaking at 70-80%. BBC Weather aligns with a 13°C high under cloudier conditions from the west, scattered showers, and a slight thunder risk, suppressing solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Northerly airflow advects cooler air masses below mid-May climatological norms (typically 16-18°C), with recent May 13 observations of blustery showers capping maxima at 15°C. Model consensus indicates limited intensification potential, though drier evening spells could nudge toward 14°C; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$82,009结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated late May 13 projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C with hourly peaks at 12°C around mid-afternoon, amid light showers, northerly winds gusting to 21 mph, and precipitation chances peaking at 70-80%. BBC Weather aligns with a 13°C high under cloudier conditions from the west, scattered showers, and a slight thunder risk, suppressing solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Northerly airflow advects cooler air masses below mid-May climatological norms (typically 16-18°C), with recent May 13 observations of blustery showers capping maxima at 15°C. Model consensus indicates limited intensification potential, though drier evening spells could nudge toward 14°C; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$82,009结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 12°C (44.5% implied probability) at London City Airport on May 14, driven by the latest Met Office forecast updated late May 13 projecting a daytime maximum of 13°C with hourly peaks at 12°C around mid-afternoon, amid light showers, northerly winds gusting to 21 mph, and precipitation chances peaking at 70-80%. BBC Weather aligns with a 13°C high under cloudier conditions from the west, scattered showers, and a slight thunder risk, suppressing solar heating through extensive cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Northerly airflow advects cooler air masses below mid-May climatological norms (typically 16-18°C), with recent May 13 observations of blustery showers capping maxima at 15°C. Model consensus indicates limited intensification potential, though drier evening spells could nudge toward 14°C; final hourly observations will resolve the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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