India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, directly supporting the market’s 59.5% implied probability for 41°C or below and 35.5% for exactly 42°C. Lingering moisture from recent thunderstorm activity has suppressed daytime heating several degrees below the 40–43°C seasonal climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain, limiting rapid warming despite typical May insolation levels. Minimal spread among short-range models keeps higher outcomes like 43°C or above at low single-digit probabilities unless drier air arrives and boosts solar heating before sunset. Final official readings from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport observatory will resolve the market, with any late IMD update capable of shifting trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
5月17日勒克瑙的最高温度？
41°C or below 67%
42°C 28%
43°C 4.0%
44°C 1.9%
$19,318 交易量
$19,318 交易量
2026-05-17
41°C or below
67%
42°C
28%
43°C
4%
44°C
2%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 67%
42°C 28%
43°C 4.0%
44°C 1.9%
$19,318 交易量
$19,318 交易量
2026-05-17
41°C or below
$2,435 交易量
67%
42°C
$1,703 交易量
28%
43°C
$1,415 交易量
4%
44°C
$1,613 交易量
2%
45°C
$2,172 交易量
<1%
46°C
$2,098 交易量
<1%
47°C
$1,593 交易量
<1%
48°C
$3,902 交易量
<1%
49°C
$798 交易量
<1%
50°C
$861 交易量
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,086 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, directly supporting the market’s 59.5% implied probability for 41°C or below and 35.5% for exactly 42°C. Lingering moisture from recent thunderstorm activity has suppressed daytime heating several degrees below the 40–43°C seasonal climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain, limiting rapid warming despite typical May insolation levels. Minimal spread among short-range models keeps higher outcomes like 43°C or above at low single-digit probabilities unless drier air arrives and boosts solar heating before sunset. Final official readings from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport observatory will resolve the market, with any late IMD update capable of shifting trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$19,318结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, directly supporting the market’s 59.5% implied probability for 41°C or below and 35.5% for exactly 42°C. Lingering moisture from recent thunderstorm activity has suppressed daytime heating several degrees below the 40–43°C seasonal climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain, limiting rapid warming despite typical May insolation levels. Minimal spread among short-range models keeps higher outcomes like 43°C or above at low single-digit probabilities unless drier air arrives and boosts solar heating before sunset. Final official readings from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport observatory will resolve the market, with any late IMD update capable of shifting trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$19,318结束日期
2026-05-17市场开放时间
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETIndia Meteorological Department forecasts place Lucknow’s maximum temperature at 41°C on May 17 under mainly clear pre-monsoon skies, directly supporting the market’s 59.5% implied probability for 41°C or below and 35.5% for exactly 42°C. Lingering moisture from recent thunderstorm activity has suppressed daytime heating several degrees below the 40–43°C seasonal climatological baseline for the Ganges Plain, limiting rapid warming despite typical May insolation levels. Minimal spread among short-range models keeps higher outcomes like 43°C or above at low single-digit probabilities unless drier air arrives and boosts solar heating before sunset. Final official readings from the Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport observatory will resolve the market, with any late IMD update capable of shifting trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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