PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated May 13 morning, projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 14 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with 60% isolated thunderstorm risk, anchoring trader consensus at 44% implied probability for 35°C while elevating 36°C to 25% amid lingering heat from yesterday's 36.7°C peak at Science Garden station. Peak dry-season conditions—enhanced solar insolation, easterly winds, and urban heat island effects—sustain elevated air temperatures above May's 34°C historical average, though convective activity could cap intensities below 37°C (1.7%). Monitor PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and overnight model runs for shifts in thunderstorm coverage or heat index trends influencing peak readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
35°C 51%
34°C 23%
36°C 15%
33°C 7.5%
最新
$14,009 交易量
最新
$14,009 交易量
2026-05-14
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
8%
34°C
23%
35°C
51%
36°C
15%
37°C
2%
38°C or higher
1%
35°C 51%
34°C 23%
36°C 15%
33°C 7.5%
最新
$14,009 交易量
最新
$14,009 交易量
2026-05-14
30°C
$607 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,849 交易量
<1%
32°C
$3,348 交易量
2%
33°C
$1,298 交易量
8%
34°C
$803 交易量
23%
35°C
$834 交易量
51%
36°C
$1,082 交易量
15%
37°C
$547 交易量
2%
38°C or higher
$447 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated May 13 morning, projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 14 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with 60% isolated thunderstorm risk, anchoring trader consensus at 44% implied probability for 35°C while elevating 36°C to 25% amid lingering heat from yesterday's 36.7°C peak at Science Garden station. Peak dry-season conditions—enhanced solar insolation, easterly winds, and urban heat island effects—sustain elevated air temperatures above May's 34°C historical average, though convective activity could cap intensities below 37°C (1.7%). Monitor PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and overnight model runs for shifts in thunderstorm coverage or heat index trends influencing peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$14,009结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated May 13 morning, projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 14 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with 60% isolated thunderstorm risk, anchoring trader consensus at 44% implied probability for 35°C while elevating 36°C to 25% amid lingering heat from yesterday's 36.7°C peak at Science Garden station. Peak dry-season conditions—enhanced solar insolation, easterly winds, and urban heat island effects—sustain elevated air temperatures above May's 34°C historical average, though convective activity could cap intensities below 37°C (1.7%). Monitor PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and overnight model runs for shifts in thunderstorm coverage or heat index trends influencing peak readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,009结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETPAGASA's latest 5-day forecast, updated May 13 morning, projects a 35°C high for Metro Manila on May 14 under partly cloudy to cloudy skies with 60% isolated thunderstorm risk, anchoring trader consensus at 44% implied probability for 35°C while elevating 36°C to 25% amid lingering heat from yesterday's 36.7°C peak at Science Garden station. Peak dry-season conditions—enhanced solar insolation, easterly winds, and urban heat island effects—sustain elevated air temperatures above May's 34°C historical average, though convective activity could cap intensities below 37°C (1.7%). Monitor PAGASA's 5 PM bulletin and overnight model runs for shifts in thunderstorm coverage or heat index trends influencing peak readings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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