PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 14?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 交易量
$31,524 交易量
2026-05-14
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$31,524 交易量
$31,524 交易量
2026-05-14
28°C or below
$1,486 交易量
No
29°C
$716 交易量
No
30°C
$671 交易量
No
31°C
$4,203 交易量
No
32°C
$5,273 交易量
No
33°C
$3,249 交易量
No
34°C
$5,240 交易量
Yes
35°C
$3,947 交易量
No
36°C
$2,941 交易量
No
37°C
$2,162 交易量
No
38°C or higher
$1,637 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
交易量
$31,524结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$31,524结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
PAGASA observations from the Quezon City Science Garden Observatory—the official station for Metro Manila—recorded a peak temperature of 34.3°C at 1:50 PM on May 14, aligning with pre-dawn forecasts of highs around 33–35°C under persistent easterlies and minimal cloud cover during the dry season peak. This trader consensus reflects real-time data showing no further intensification, with temperatures stabilizing post-midday amid typical urban heat island effects moderated by light winds. Scenarios challenging this include an unexpected late-afternoon solar heating surge pushing past 35°C before sunset, though model consensus and historical May patterns (average highs 33–34°C) indicate low likelihood; final daily summary expected from PAGASA by evening.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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