The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月4日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 交易量
$29,218 交易量
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
是
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C或更高
否
26°C 100.0%
20°C或以下 <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$29,218 交易量
$29,218 交易量
2026-08-04
20°C或以下
$347 交易量
否
21°C
$427 交易量
否
22°C
$543 交易量
否
23°C
$1,015 交易量
否
24°C
$1,931 交易量
否
25°C
$5,110 交易量
否
26°C
$9,304 交易量
是
27°C
$5,672 交易量
否
28°C
$2,737 交易量
否
29°C
$1,445 交易量
否
30°C或更高
$687 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$29,218结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,218结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The market assigns near-certainty to a 26°C high on August 4, 2026, reflecting confirmed observational data from primary meteorological stations in Mexico City. This aligns with typical early-August conditions at the city's high elevation, where daytime maxima commonly reach the mid-20s Celsius amid the rainy season's cloud cover and convective activity that limits extreme heating. Official networks such as those operated by Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional provide the resolution benchmark, with model consensus and station reports converging on this value rather than higher or lower thresholds. A late-day measurement revision, use of an alternate reference station, or uncharacteristic clear-sky intensification could theoretically alter the final figure, though such shifts are uncommon once preliminary data are validated.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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