Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月5日墨西哥城气温最高？
8月5日墨西哥城气温最高？
26°C 49%
27°C 35%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
23°C或以下
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
7%
26°C
49%
27°C
35%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C或以上
<1%
26°C 49%
27°C 35%
28°C 9%
25°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-05
23°C或以下
$179 交易量
1%
24°C
$1,196 交易量
2%
25°C
$608 交易量
7%
26°C
$1,460 交易量
49%
27°C
$749 交易量
35%
28°C
$383 交易量
9%
29°C
$261 交易量
1%
30°C
$465 交易量
<1%
31°C
$416 交易量
<1%
32°C
$587 交易量
<1%
33°C或以上
$597 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
交易量
$6,901结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,901结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 3, 2026, 9:04 PM ETMexico City's high-elevation setting near 2,240 meters consistently moderates daytime temperatures during the rainy season, with official climatological averages for early August showing highs of 21–24°C and limited excursions above 25°C due to frequent afternoon convection and cloud cover. Current seasonal patterns, including ongoing monsoon influences and typical steering flows, align with model guidance favoring peak readings of 26–27°C on August 5, explaining the market's strong implied probabilities of 48.5% and 33.5% respectively. Recent observational trends from regional monitoring indicate no major heat-wave setup or anomalous subsidence that would push values significantly higher, while urban heat-island effects provide only marginal upward bias within the city's basin. Traders appear to price in these established constraints alongside the narrow historical distribution of daily maxima.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题