Recent forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's daytime maximum on August 13 will likely reach 16°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and a cooler maritime air mass limiting solar heating under the region's typical continental climate. This aligns with historical mid-August baselines around 20–23°C but reflects short-term variability from steering patterns that suppress warming. Trader consensus at 55% for 16°C and 30.5% for 15°C incorporates model consensus on minimal afternoon rise, with lower probabilities for 17°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated observations and evening verification data will refine these implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月13日莫斯科最高气温？
8月13日莫斯科最高气温？
16℃ 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 12%
14°C 8%
$22,947 交易量
$22,947 交易量
2026-08-13
12°C或以下
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
8%
15°C
31%
16℃
54%
17°C
12%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C或更高
<1%
16℃ 54%
15°C 31%
17°C 12%
14°C 8%
$22,947 交易量
$22,947 交易量
2026-08-13
12°C或以下
$1,547 交易量
<1%
13°C
$3,336 交易量
1%
14°C
$2,362 交易量
8%
15°C
$2,668 交易量
31%
16℃
$2,158 交易量
54%
17°C
$3,182 交易量
12%
18°C
$4,261 交易量
2%
19°C
$648 交易量
1%
20°C
$976 交易量
<1%
21°C
$1,426 交易量
<1%
22°C或更高
$383 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's daytime maximum on August 13 will likely reach 16°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and a cooler maritime air mass limiting solar heating under the region's typical continental climate. This aligns with historical mid-August baselines around 20–23°C but reflects short-term variability from steering patterns that suppress warming. Trader consensus at 55% for 16°C and 30.5% for 15°C incorporates model consensus on minimal afternoon rise, with lower probabilities for 17°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated observations and evening verification data will refine these implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$22,947结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's daytime maximum on August 13 will likely reach 16°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and a cooler maritime air mass limiting solar heating under the region's typical continental climate. This aligns with historical mid-August baselines around 20–23°C but reflects short-term variability from steering patterns that suppress warming. Trader consensus at 55% for 16°C and 30.5% for 15°C incorporates model consensus on minimal afternoon rise, with lower probabilities for 17°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated observations and evening verification data will refine these implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$22,947结束日期
2026-08-13市场开放时间
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from agencies like the Russian Hydrometeorological Center indicate Moscow's daytime maximum on August 13 will likely reach 16°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and a cooler maritime air mass limiting solar heating under the region's typical continental climate. This aligns with historical mid-August baselines around 20–23°C but reflects short-term variability from steering patterns that suppress warming. Trader consensus at 55% for 16°C and 30.5% for 15°C incorporates model consensus on minimal afternoon rise, with lower probabilities for 17°C+ reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any clearing. Updated observations and evening verification data will refine these implied odds before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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