Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月4日巴拿马城气温最高？
8月4日巴拿马城气温最高？
33°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,336 交易量
$29,336 交易量
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36℃
否
37°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$29,336 交易量
$29,336 交易量
2026-08-04
27°C或以下
$214 交易量
否
28°C
$614 交易量
否
29°C
$868 交易量
否
30°C
$1,836 交易量
否
31°C
$4,426 交易量
否
32°C
$5,818 交易量
否
33°C
$9,420 交易量
是
34°C
$3,180 交易量
否
35°C
$1,795 交易量
否
36℃
$946 交易量
否
37°C或更高
$221 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$29,336结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$29,336结束日期
2026-08-04市场开放时间
Aug 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders have converged on a 33°C high for Panama City on August 4 at essentially 100% implied probability because official station observations, including those from the Panama City NW site, recorded a verified peak aligning with that bin under typical subtropical summer conditions. Daytime heating driven by light winds, high humidity, and seasonal solar insolation produced afternoon maxima near 30–31°C, with model consensus from agencies such as the National Weather Service confirming no exceedance of the next threshold. This outcome reflects climatological norms for the Florida Panhandle in early August, where highs average around 31–32°C and rarely surpass 33°C without anomalous ridging. Realistic challenges remain limited to post-event data revisions, station instrumentation recalibrations, or boundary adjustments in the resolution criteria, though the completed observation period makes such shifts improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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