Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao under continued influence from a regional high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, sustaining the elevated heat risk flagged in the ongoing Shandong high-temperature orange warning. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 36–37 °C for 6 August, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, coastal sea-breeze timing, and exact ridge position; these factors determine whether the peak reaches the upper 30s or remains capped near 35 °C. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty in the final observed value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日青岛气温最高？
8月6日青岛气温最高？
36°C 38%
37°C 28%
35°C 17%
38°C或更高 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
6%
35°C
17%
36°C
38%
37°C
28%
38°C或更高
17%
36°C 38%
37°C 28%
35°C 17%
38°C或更高 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
28°C或以下
$267 交易量
<1%
29°C
$267 交易量
<1%
30°C
$267 交易量
<1%
31°C
$1,052 交易量
<1%
32°C
$636 交易量
1%
33°C
$295 交易量
1%
34°C
$669 交易量
6%
35°C
$647 交易量
17%
36°C
$1,514 交易量
38%
37°C
$1,218 交易量
28%
38°C或更高
$707 交易量
17%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao under continued influence from a regional high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, sustaining the elevated heat risk flagged in the ongoing Shandong high-temperature orange warning. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 36–37 °C for 6 August, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, coastal sea-breeze timing, and exact ridge position; these factors determine whether the peak reaches the upper 30s or remains capped near 35 °C. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty in the final observed value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$7,414结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao under continued influence from a regional high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, sustaining the elevated heat risk flagged in the ongoing Shandong high-temperature orange warning. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 36–37 °C for 6 August, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, coastal sea-breeze timing, and exact ridge position; these factors determine whether the peak reaches the upper 30s or remains capped near 35 °C. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty in the final observed value.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$7,414结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction runs from the China Meteorological Administration show Qingdao under continued influence from a regional high-pressure ridge and subsidence warming, sustaining the elevated heat risk flagged in the ongoing Shandong high-temperature orange warning. Ensemble guidance clusters maximum temperatures near 36–37 °C for 6 August, with modest spread arising from small differences in boundary-layer moisture, coastal sea-breeze timing, and exact ridge position; these factors determine whether the peak reaches the upper 30s or remains capped near 35 °C. Trader probabilities align closely with this model consensus while reflecting residual uncertainty in the final observed value.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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