Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 14?
28°C 43%
29°C 26%
31°C or higher 15.5%
30°C 14%
最新
$14,478 交易量
最新
$14,478 交易量
2026-05-14
27°C
12%
28°C
43%
29°C
26%
30°C
14%
31°C or higher
16%
28°C 43%
29°C 26%
31°C or higher 15.5%
30°C 14%
最新
$14,478 交易量
最新
$14,478 交易量
2026-05-14
27°C
$1,085 交易量
12%
28°C
$741 交易量
43%
29°C
$685 交易量
26%
30°C
$1,391 交易量
14%
31°C or higher
$1,505 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$14,478结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$14,478结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 28°C (34%) and 29°C (32%) for Shenzhen's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting uncertainty in the latest forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory amid an approaching rain system tied to early monsoon influences over the Pearl River Delta. Recent observations logged highs of 30–32°C on May 12–13 despite cloud cover, but model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF now converge on daytime peaks of 28–29°C under isolated thunderstorms and overcast skies, with highs potentially capped by convective timing and humidity above 80%. Historical May climatology averages 29°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an Airport, the resolution site, though cloud-induced suppression favors the lower end; watch for CMA hourly updates today as the system nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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