Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, suppressing daytime solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s maximum temperature near 27°C. This setup deviates from the region’s mid-May climatological average of 29–31°C recorded at stations like Bao’an, where clearer skies typically allow stronger warming. Current model consensus and ongoing humidity from a regional trough reinforce the market’s strong tilt toward 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with only limited upside risk if afternoon breaks in cloud cover develop. Hourly observations from official Shenzhen stations will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月17日深圳气温最高?
27°C 85%
28°C 11%
29°C 5%
30°C <1%
$31,724 交易量
$31,724 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
85%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 85%
28°C 11%
29°C 5%
30°C <1%
$31,724 交易量
$31,724 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
85%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF ensembles show persistent cloud cover and scattered showers across the Pearl River Delta on May 17, suppressing daytime solar heating and anchoring Shenzhen’s maximum temperature near 27°C. This setup deviates from the region’s mid-May climatological average of 29–31°C recorded at stations like Bao’an, where clearer skies typically allow stronger warming. Current model consensus and ongoing humidity from a regional trough reinforce the market’s strong tilt toward 27°C and 28°C outcomes, with only limited upside risk if afternoon breaks in cloud cover develop. Hourly observations from official Shenzhen stations will determine final resolution as the day progresses.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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