NEA's 4-day forecast projects a 34°C high for May 14 amid southwest winds at 10-20 km/h and expected afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus favors 32°C at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting recent observational data where peaks capped at 32°C on May 12 and May 5 despite similar nominal forecasts. Inter-monsoon conditions with light, variable winds and above-average rainfall from frequent convection have suppressed daily maximums around the climatological May average of 32.3°C, as confirmed by automated climate stations across Singapore. The 33°C (23.5%) and 31°C (18%) outcomes capture uncertainty in shower timing—early onset could limit to 31°C, while delayed activity allows brief spikes. Updated NEA guidance expected later today may refine model consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
Highest temperature in Singapore on May 14?
32°C 50%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
34°C 4.9%
$30,020 交易量
$30,020 交易量
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
50%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 50%
33°C 25%
31°C 17%
34°C 4.9%
$30,020 交易量
$30,020 交易量
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
4%
31°C
17%
32°C
50%
33°C
25%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 12, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
NEA's 4-day forecast projects a 34°C high for May 14 amid southwest winds at 10-20 km/h and expected afternoon thundery showers, yet trader consensus favors 32°C at 46.5% implied probability, reflecting recent observational data where peaks capped at 32°C on May 12 and May 5 despite similar nominal forecasts. Inter-monsoon conditions with light, variable winds and above-average rainfall from frequent convection have suppressed daily maximums around the climatological May average of 32.3°C, as confirmed by automated climate stations across Singapore. The 33°C (23.5%) and 31°C (18%) outcomes capture uncertainty in shower timing—early onset could limit to 31°C, while delayed activity allows brief spikes. Updated NEA guidance expected later today may refine model consensus before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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