The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a high of 21°C in Toronto on May 16, driven by official observational data from Environment Canada stations confirming a daily maximum under stable spring atmospheric conditions. Moderate high-pressure systems suppressed daytime heating and blocked warmer southerly flows, keeping temperatures aligned with historical mid-May baselines for the region. This strong consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal model divergence in the final hours before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include post-event data revisions from the primary urban station or rare inclusion of localized microclimate readings, though such adjustments remain uncommon for established monitoring sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
Highest temperature in Toronto on May 16?
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,847 交易量
$146,847 交易量
2026-05-16
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
21°C 100.0%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,847 交易量
$146,847 交易量
2026-05-16
21°C
$12,635 交易量
100%
22°C
$8,976 交易量
<1%
23°C
$8,364 交易量
<1%
24°C
$7,254 交易量
<1%
25°C
$9,335 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$10,413 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a high of 21°C in Toronto on May 16, driven by official observational data from Environment Canada stations confirming a daily maximum under stable spring atmospheric conditions. Moderate high-pressure systems suppressed daytime heating and blocked warmer southerly flows, keeping temperatures aligned with historical mid-May baselines for the region. This strong consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal model divergence in the final hours before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include post-event data revisions from the primary urban station or rare inclusion of localized microclimate readings, though such adjustments remain uncommon for established monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
交易量
$146,847结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a high of 21°C in Toronto on May 16, driven by official observational data from Environment Canada stations confirming a daily maximum under stable spring atmospheric conditions. Moderate high-pressure systems suppressed daytime heating and blocked warmer southerly flows, keeping temperatures aligned with historical mid-May baselines for the region. This strong consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal model divergence in the final hours before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include post-event data revisions from the primary urban station or rare inclusion of localized microclimate readings, though such adjustments remain uncommon for established monitoring sites.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$146,847结束日期
2026-05-16市场开放时间
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor a high of 21°C in Toronto on May 16, driven by official observational data from Environment Canada stations confirming a daily maximum under stable spring atmospheric conditions. Moderate high-pressure systems suppressed daytime heating and blocked warmer southerly flows, keeping temperatures aligned with historical mid-May baselines for the region. This strong consensus reflects verified measurements rather than forecasts, with minimal model divergence in the final hours before resolution. Scenarios that could realistically challenge the outcome include post-event data revisions from the primary urban station or rare inclusion of localized microclimate readings, though such adjustments remain uncommon for established monitoring sites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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