Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 14?
18°C 42%
19°C 34%
17°C 19%
20°C 4.9%
最新
$10,716 交易量
最新
$10,716 交易量
2026-05-14
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
19%
18°C
42%
19°C
34%
20°C
5%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 42%
19°C 34%
17°C 19%
20°C 4.9%
最新
$10,716 交易量
最新
$10,716 交易量
2026-05-14
13°C or below
$768 交易量
<1%
14°C
$920 交易量
<1%
15°C
$1,132 交易量
1%
16°C
$1,059 交易量
3%
17°C
$1,080 交易量
19%
18°C
$1,287 交易量
42%
19°C
$954 交易量
34%
20°C
$1,037 交易量
5%
21°C
$470 交易量
1%
22°C
$1,379 交易量
1%
23°C or higher
$631 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
交易量
$10,716结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10,716结束日期
2026-05-14市场开放时间
May 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 18°C (40.5%) and 19°C (31.0%) as Warsaw's highest temperature on May 14, reflecting the latest IMGW hourly forecasts showing peak afternoon readings around 19.5°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This positioning stems from recent model runs, including IMGW updates, indicating southerly flow bringing mild air masses after cooler midweek lows near 13°C on May 12, with boundary layer warming limited by potential overcast skies or late-day sprinkles as seen in ensemble spreads from ECMWF analogs. Differentiating factors include precise timing of peak insolation versus convective showers—favoring 18°C if clouds thicken post-3 p.m., or 19°C with clearer skies—and slight model divergences on 850 hPa temperatures. New IMGW guidance expected May 13 could refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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