Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日武汉气温最高?
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,393 交易量
$63,393 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,393 交易量
$63,393 交易量
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C或更高
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Wuhan’s peak temperature on August 14 will reach 30 °C, driven by stable subtropical high pressure, moderate humidity, and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies. Ensemble model runs show tight clustering around this value, consistent with late-summer climatology where daily highs average near 30–32 °C before seasonal decline. Real-time surface observations and short-range guidance reinforce the consensus, leaving little room for deviation. The only plausible challenges would be an unforecasted convective cell delivering rapid cooling or a sharper-than-expected wind shift enhancing mixing, both of which carry low probability given the current synoptic pattern.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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