The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election remains a tight contest among Québec Solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc, Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, and Coalition Avenir Québec nominee Béatrice Hodonou, with Liberals and Conservatives trailing. As a historically left-leaning Montreal district, the race hinges on the division of progressive votes between QS and PQ amid a province-wide PQ surge in polling. The early campaign period, following the August 27 writ drop, has seen limited differentiation beyond candidate announcements and party platforms on housing, social services, and sovereignty. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability. Developments such as local debates, turnout among urban voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum could widen gaps before nomination closure on September 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于莫德·布罗萨尔-萨布兰 29%
伊莲娜·彭塔 27%
亚历山大·勒杜克 26%
贝阿特丽斯·霍多努 25%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
莫德·布罗萨尔-萨布兰
29%
伊莲娜·彭塔
27%
亚历山大·勒杜克
26%
贝阿特丽斯·霍多努
25%
Janny Gaspard
25%
莫德·布罗萨尔-萨布兰 29%
伊莲娜·彭塔 27%
亚历山大·勒杜克 26%
贝阿特丽斯·霍多努 25%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
莫德·布罗萨尔-萨布兰
$0 交易量
29%
伊莲娜·彭塔
$21 交易量
27%
亚历山大·勒杜克
$0 交易量
26%
贝阿特丽斯·霍多努
$0 交易量
25%
Janny Gaspard
$0 交易量
25%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election remains a tight contest among Québec Solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc, Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, and Coalition Avenir Québec nominee Béatrice Hodonou, with Liberals and Conservatives trailing. As a historically left-leaning Montreal district, the race hinges on the division of progressive votes between QS and PQ amid a province-wide PQ surge in polling. The early campaign period, following the August 27 writ drop, has seen limited differentiation beyond candidate announcements and party platforms on housing, social services, and sovereignty. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability. Developments such as local debates, turnout among urban voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum could widen gaps before nomination closure on September 17.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election remains a tight contest among Québec Solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc, Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, and Coalition Avenir Québec nominee Béatrice Hodonou, with Liberals and Conservatives trailing. As a historically left-leaning Montreal district, the race hinges on the division of progressive votes between QS and PQ amid a province-wide PQ surge in polling. The early campaign period, following the August 27 writ drop, has seen limited differentiation beyond candidate announcements and party platforms on housing, social services, and sovereignty. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability. Developments such as local debates, turnout among urban voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum could widen gaps before nomination closure on September 17.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$21结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETThe Hochelaga-Maisonneuve riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election remains a tight contest among Québec Solidaire incumbent Alexandre Leduc, Parti Québécois candidate Maude Brossard-Sabourin, and Coalition Avenir Québec nominee Béatrice Hodonou, with Liberals and Conservatives trailing. As a historically left-leaning Montreal district, the race hinges on the division of progressive votes between QS and PQ amid a province-wide PQ surge in polling. The early campaign period, following the August 27 writ drop, has seen limited differentiation beyond candidate announcements and party platforms on housing, social services, and sovereignty. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with no single contender exceeding low-30s implied probability. Developments such as local debates, turnout among urban voters, or shifts in provincial party momentum could widen gaps before nomination closure on September 17.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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