**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.** Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Guy Veillette 46%
洛朗·贝利尔 46%
埃洛迪·墨菲-戈蒂耶 43%
查尔斯·帕金 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Guy Veillette
46%
洛朗·贝利尔
46%
埃洛迪·墨菲-戈蒂耶
43%
查尔斯·帕金
43%
Guy Veillette 46%
洛朗·贝利尔 46%
埃洛迪·墨菲-戈蒂耶 43%
查尔斯·帕金 43%
最新
最新
2026-10-05
Guy Veillette
$0 交易量
46%
洛朗·贝利尔
$0 交易量
46%
埃洛迪·墨菲-戈蒂耶
$0 交易量
43%
查尔斯·帕金
$0 交易量
43%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.**
Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市场开放时间： Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ETParliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.**
Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-10-05市场开放时间
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET**In the Laviolette–Saint-Maurice riding ahead of the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, trader consensus reflects a tight contest shaped by the retirement of longtime CAQ incumbent Marie-Louise Tardif and strong competition between the CAQ’s Guy Veillette and the PQ’s Élodie Murphy-Gauthier.** Veillette, a longtime local journalist with deep community ties, and Murphy-Gauthier, a family physician focused on health and social services, anchor the race. Late-August projections show a near toss-up, with CAQ and PQ vote shares separated by just a few points amid notable PCQ support that could split the vote. Provincial trends featuring a competitive PQ-CAQ dynamic in the Mauricie region, combined with the open seat and the short post-writ campaign period, keep implied probabilities closely matched across leading candidates. Late developments such as candidate debates, regional turnout patterns, or shifts in francophone voter preferences could widen gaps before election day.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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