**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with projections from late August showing both parties in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range amid a broader provincial race.** Fontecilla benefits from incumbency since 2018 and established support in the diverse Montreal district, while the Liberal candidate seeks to capitalize on party renewal under Charles Milliard. Other contenders from the Parti québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trail with lower projected shares. The race remains competitive due to fragmented voter preferences, recent boundary adjustments, and early-campaign dynamics following the August 27 writ drop, with factors like turnout in immigrant communities, housing and immigration messaging, and provincial polling shifts potentially widening or narrowing the gap before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于安德烈斯·丰特西利亚 44%
德里克·勒费布尔 26%
凯利·拉索·德拉·维加 25%
Randy Legault-Rankin 25%

安德烈斯·丰特西利亚
44%

德里克·勒费布尔
26%

凯利·拉索·德拉·维加
25%

Randy Legault-Rankin
25%

埃米尔·帕尔菲奥诺夫
24%
安德烈斯·丰特西利亚 44%
德里克·勒费布尔 26%
凯利·拉索·德拉·维加 25%
Randy Legault-Rankin 25%

安德烈斯·丰特西利亚
44%

德里克·勒费布尔
26%

凯利·拉索·德拉·维加
25%

Randy Legault-Rankin
25%

埃米尔·帕尔菲奥诺夫
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
市场开放时间: Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
**In the Laurier-Dorion riding, the 2026 Quebec general election on October 5 features a tight contest between incumbent Québec solidaire MNA Andrés Fontecilla and Liberal challenger Randy Legault-Rankin, with projections from late August showing both parties in the mid-30s to low-40s percent range amid a broader provincial race.** Fontecilla benefits from incumbency since 2018 and established support in the diverse Montreal district, while the Liberal candidate seeks to capitalize on party renewal under Charles Milliard. Other contenders from the Parti québécois, Conservative Party of Quebec, and Coalition Avenir Québec trail with lower projected shares. The race remains competitive due to fragmented voter preferences, recent boundary adjustments, and early-campaign dynamics following the August 27 writ drop, with factors like turnout in immigrant communities, housing and immigration messaging, and provincial polling shifts potentially widening or narrowing the gap before nomination deadlines close in mid-September.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


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