Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$618,958 交易量
$618,958 交易量
2026-06-30
是
$618,958 交易量
$618,958 交易量
2026-06-30
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
交易量
$618,958结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
交易量
$618,958结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Jan 2, 2026, 8:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Taiwan's opposition parties hold insufficient seats in the Legislative Yuan to secure the two-thirds supermajority required for impeachment under the constitution, leaving the KMT and TPP combined roughly 16 votes short of the 76 needed. The December 2025 motion advanced through initial stages and public hearings amid disputes over revenue allocation legislation and executive countersignature, culminating in a scheduled May 19 roll-call vote that functions primarily as a procedural step rather than a viable removal mechanism. Even passage would route the case to a Constitutional Court currently facing vacancies and limited quorum, extending timelines well beyond the June 30 resolution window. Trader consensus at 98.2 percent for no impeachment reflects these fixed institutional thresholds and absence of cross-party defections, though any sudden legislative realignment or court reconstitution before month-end could introduce limited volatility.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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