Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher and 21°C or below for Chongqing on August 25, reflecting substantial uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models just 48 hours ahead. Subtropical conditions in late August typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention that moderate nighttime cooling, yet a passing frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could lower the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show spread in predicted low-level moisture and wind patterns, with historical August variability supporting both warmer and cooler extremes. New model runs and observational updates over the next day will likely narrow the range as steering flows become clearer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日重庆气温最低?
31°C or higher 83%
21°C or below 82%
27°C 29%
28°C 28%
21°C or below
82%
22°C
8%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
23%
26°C
-
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
83%
31°C or higher 83%
21°C or below 82%
27°C 29%
28°C 28%
21°C or below
82%
22°C
8%
23°C
15%
24°C
21%
25°C
23%
26°C
-
27°C
29%
28°C
28%
29°C
23%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
83%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders see nearly even odds between a minimum of 31°C or higher and 21°C or below for Chongqing on August 25, reflecting substantial uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models just 48 hours ahead. Subtropical conditions in late August typically feature high humidity and urban heat retention that moderate nighttime cooling, yet a passing frontal boundary or increased cloud cover could lower the minimum by several degrees. Ensemble forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration show spread in predicted low-level moisture and wind patterns, with historical August variability supporting both warmer and cooler extremes. New model runs and observational updates over the next day will likely narrow the range as steering flows become clearer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题