**Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity produced an elevated overnight minimum temperature in Houston on August 27, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a minimum of 82 °F shortly after 6 a.m. CDT, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 75 °F, with the maximum reaching 100 °F later that afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader consensus strongly favored the 80–81 °F bucket (96.5 % implied probability) because model guidance and climatological trends pointed to continued warmth without significant cooling mechanisms such as a frontal passage or widespread rainfall. The broader August pattern featured above-average temperatures across southeast Texas, consistent with the observed +7 °F departure and the absence of any synoptic features capable of dropping the low into the mid-70s or below. Realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include an unexpected cold front or heavy overnight convection triggering evaporative cooling; neither materialized. The market-implied odds therefore reflected the high-confidence scientific expectation of a warm minimum based on verified observations and standard forecast variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日休斯顿最低温度?
80-81°F 100.0%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F 1.0%
73°F or below <1%
$1,384 交易量
$1,384 交易量
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
80-81°F 100.0%
76-77°F 1.0%
78-79°F 1.0%
73°F or below <1%
$1,384 交易量
$1,384 交易量
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
Yes
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Persistent late-summer heat and high humidity produced an elevated overnight minimum temperature in Houston on August 27, 2026.** Official National Weather Service observations at Houston Intercontinental Airport recorded a minimum of 82 °F shortly after 6 a.m. CDT, seven degrees above the 1991–2020 normal of 75 °F, with the maximum reaching 100 °F later that afternoon under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Trader consensus strongly favored the 80–81 °F bucket (96.5 % implied probability) because model guidance and climatological trends pointed to continued warmth without significant cooling mechanisms such as a frontal passage or widespread rainfall. The broader August pattern featured above-average temperatures across southeast Texas, consistent with the observed +7 °F departure and the absence of any synoptic features capable of dropping the low into the mid-70s or below. Realistic scenarios that could have altered the outcome include an unexpected cold front or heavy overnight convection triggering evaporative cooling; neither materialized. The market-implied odds therefore reflected the high-confidence scientific expectation of a warm minimum based on verified observations and standard forecast variables.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题