Forecast consensus from multiple models places Istanbul’s minimum temperature on August 31 near 19–21 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–30 °C. Recent cooler-than-average conditions through much of August have kept overnight lows slightly suppressed relative to climatology, yet no strong cold advection or persistent cloud cover is expected to drive readings below 18 °C or push them above 23 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer wind speed and dew-point recovery, which directly affect the rate of nocturnal temperature fall. With resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum, traders weigh these narrow forecast uncertainties against historical late-August variability of roughly ±2 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于伊斯坦布尔8月31日的最低温度?
17°C or below 88%
27°C or higher 59%
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
17°C or below
88%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
59%
17°C or below 88%
27°C or higher 59%
19°C 50%
18°C 49%
17°C or below
88%
18°C
49%
19°C
50%
20°C
26%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
2%
25°C
8%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
59%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus from multiple models places Istanbul’s minimum temperature on August 31 near 19–21 °C under mostly clear skies and moderate northeasterly flow, consistent with late-summer radiative cooling after daytime highs of 27–30 °C. Recent cooler-than-average conditions through much of August have kept overnight lows slightly suppressed relative to climatology, yet no strong cold advection or persistent cloud cover is expected to drive readings below 18 °C or push them above 23 °C. Model spreads arise mainly from small differences in boundary-layer wind speed and dew-point recovery, which directly affect the rate of nocturnal temperature fall. With resolution hinging on the official overnight minimum, traders weigh these narrow forecast uncertainties against historical late-August variability of roughly ±2 °C.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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