Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a mild southwesterly airflow and building high pressure over southern England, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 15–16°C in London on August 8. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight are expected to moderate heat loss, while light winds reduce mixing of cooler boundary-layer air. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact cloud timing and subtle advection differences, keeping the 14–16°C range dominant in trader pricing. Historical August minima average near 13°C, but the current warmer-than-normal pattern favors the upper end of typical overnight lows. Updated model runs and any last-minute pressure adjustments ahead of the date remain the key variables traders will monitor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日伦敦最低气温?
15°C 43%
16°C 36%
14°C 16%
11°C 7%
10°C或以下
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
43%
16°C
36%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
15°C 43%
16°C 36%
14°C 16%
11°C 7%
10°C或以下
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
4%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
43%
16°C
36%
17°C
7%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C或以上
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate a mild southwesterly airflow and building high pressure over southern England, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and supporting minimum temperatures near 15–16°C in London on August 8. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight are expected to moderate heat loss, while light winds reduce mixing of cooler boundary-layer air. Model consensus shows modest spread tied to exact cloud timing and subtle advection differences, keeping the 14–16°C range dominant in trader pricing. Historical August minima average near 13°C, but the current warmer-than-normal pattern favors the upper end of typical overnight lows. Updated model runs and any last-minute pressure adjustments ahead of the date remain the key variables traders will monitor.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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