Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日马尼拉最低温度？
9月1日马尼拉最低温度？
22°C or below 99%
32°C或更高 99%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
99%
23°C
49%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
50%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
48%
31°C
2%
32°C或更高
99%
22°C or below 99%
32°C或更高 99%
26°C 50%
23°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
22°C or below
$0 交易量
99%
23°C
$0 交易量
49%
24°C
$0 交易量
49%
25°C
$0 交易量
49%
26°C
$0 交易量
50%
27°C
$0 交易量
49%
28°C
$0 交易量
49%
29°C
$0 交易量
49%
30°C
$0 交易量
48%
31°C
$0 交易量
2%
32°C或更高
$0 交易量
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:32 AM ETTrader sentiment for Manila's September 1 minimum temperature shows near-even odds on extremes (22°C or below versus 32°C or higher) due to substantial short-range forecast uncertainty in a tropical setting. Variable southwest monsoon moisture, cloud cover, and convective activity create divergent model outcomes: clearer, drier conditions enable stronger nighttime radiative cooling and lower readings, while high humidity and lingering showers suppress cooling and elevate minimums. Sea-surface temperatures and steering winds add further variability. PAGASA and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours should narrow the range as landfall or outflow patterns become clearer.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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